These updates are shared to help raise the situational awareness of Faith-Based organizations to best defend against and mitigate the impacts from all-hazards threats including physical security, cybersecurity, and natural disasters.
Colorado State University (CSU) has further reduced its outlook for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season and now expects a well below-average season. The updated forecast predicts 9 named storms, 4 hurricanes, and 1 major hurricane, compared to the 1991-2020 averages of 14.4 named storms, 7.2 hurricanes, and 3.2 major hurricanes. Forecasts for storm activity are also significantly lower, with 35 named storm days (average: 69.4), 12 hurricane days (average 27), and 2 major hurricane days (average: 7.4). CSU attributed the quieter outlook to the expected development of moderate to potentially strong El Nino conditions, which are likely to increase vertical wind shear across the tropical Atlantic. While the forecast also indicates a below-average chance of major hurricane landfalls along the U.S. coastline and in the Caribbean, CSU emphasizes that a single landfalling storm can still have significant impacts.
Analyst Comments: While the overall 2026 hurricane season may be quiet, faith-based organizations should still consider preparedness efforts as it only takes one landfall to cause significant damage to operations. Furthermore, houses of worship, ministries, and nonprofit organizations are often seen as support during disaster response by providing shelter and coordinating relief efforts following hurricanes. Organizations that may have planned mission trips, conferences, camps, or other travel to regions under hurricane warnings or watches should be prepared to monitor forecasts, review contingency plans, and ensure communication procedures are in place. A below-average season does not eliminate the risk of a high-impact storm and maintaining readiness can protect organizations, people, and places.
Recent drone incidents near major U.S. airports are highlighting a broader security issue that extends beyond aviation. The HSToday argues that drones have become a growing risk to critical infrastructure, public venues, government facilities, energy sites, hospitals, stadiums, and other sensitive locations due to traditional security programs being designed to protect against threats approaching from the ground, not the air. As drones become smaller and capable of operating at farther distances, organizations are being challenged to rethink physical security. Organizations now cannot rely solely on fences, cameras, or drone detection systems. Instead, organizations need integrated security approaches that combine physical security, cyber resilience, airspace awareness, intelligence, and coordinated decision-making. The article also notes that while many organizations can detect suspicious drone activity, they often lack the legal authority or coordinated processes needed to quickly assess and respond to a drone, creating a gap between identifying a potential threat and taking meaningful action.
Analyst Comments: Faith-based organizations may recognize that drones present a growing security consideration for houses of worship due to large gatherings and community events. Unauthorized drone activity can be used to conduct surveillance, disrupt outdoor services or special events, and gather information about facility layouts and security measures. While most drone activity is lawful, organizations incorporate low-altitude airspace awareness into existing security and emergency plans by training staff and volunteers on how to recognize and report suspicious drone activity, identifying points of contact for local law enforcement, and reviewing procedures for large outdoor events. Resources such as CISA, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), and local fusion centers can provide guidance on drone awareness, reporting, and protective security planning.
The FB-ISAO’s sponsor Gate 15 publishes a daily newsletter called the SUN. Curated from their open source intelligence collection process, the SUN informs leaders and analysts with the critical news of the day and provides a holistic look at the current global, all-hazards threat environment. Ahead of the daily news cycle, the SUN allows current situational awareness into the topics that will impact your organization.